I am putting together some resources and ideas of my own about whether or not Twitter is going to survive the next year as it exists now or if it will merge in with another social Web application, such as Facebook. I think that Twitter became more useful for me after I downloaded TweetDeck. Twitter runs in the background on TweetDeck and while I do school work or check e-mails or work on the computer, a small icon pops up to let me know what type of Tweets have been updated to my Twitter feed – general tweets, @ replies, direct messages, etc.
Few of today’s Twitter users went through the CB radio phenomenon. It was almost identical to Twitter in that it was discussed to excess on TV and used for both productive and non-productive uses. It still exists but nobody uses it anymore: CB radio got clogged up with chatterboxes who bought illegal amplifiers and ended up hogging all the bandwidth with useless transmissions that stepped all over the system. This is the equivalent of Twitter going “over capacity” and not working just when you wanted to use it. When this happens too often you lose interest or begin to look for an alternative.
Twitter’s value in the workplace by Neville Hobson
http://www.nevillehobson.com/2009/05/03/twitters-value-in-the-workplace/And putting amusement aside, I can also see Twitter’s value in the workplace instead of email in some situations – and I’m all for finding more effective alternatives to email – if people are able to just go ahead and use it as they see fit rather than as some kind of cascaded top-down formal directive to use it.
The Twitter Retention Problem: Oprah, Aloha and Your Community by Chris Bailey
Twitter’s been overhyped lately and the fact that folks are coming and going really shouldn’t be a shock. All the media-fed mania did was increase the curiosity of folks who wanted to see what the hubbub was about. And when they got there, they were likely disappointed by what they found because there really is no community with Twitter. It’s a social network that inspires community. Because its a social network first, there is no formal welcome, no Twitter 101, no management plan for helping newbies feel comfortable with the lingo. (Come to think of it, maybe Twitter really does need a Chief Community Officer.)
Is Twitter About to Jump the Shark? by Ron Callari
Could Twitter have tipped that delicate balance, and be headed for a downhill descent? Will the Founding Fathers of Twitter abandon ship and mosey on down the Social Network trail?
I don’t think so! I think the rumors of Twitter’s demise are grossly over exaggerated.
I believe the basic premise of Twitter is brevity and access. Twitter, dissimilar Facebook and LinkedIn, requires less active participation on our part. While the group involvement of other social networks has its own appeal, they definitely require a focus that can eat up a lot more time than Twitter. I personally can keep my Twitter home page open all day long, and visit it periodically when I have a quick thought or a need to shake out some cobwebs. I can’t say the same of the others. On Facebook and LinkedIn, I get caught up in answering incoming mail, joining discussion groups, reviewing photos and videos, supervising memberships for groups I organized, and a myriad number of other tasks that can become exhausting at day’s end.
So to think about what might take its place is a daunting task. If you think that Twitter is a replacement for how we receive the news, then perhaps Twitter has taken the place of the newspaper. But if that be the case, US newspapers experienced logevity, having been around since the early 1700s. And yes, everything does move a lot faster in the electronic age, but it will be interesting to see how long social networks in general will last. Rubel and others are proponents of FriendFeed, Jaiku and Pownce as possible substitutes. However, it doesn’t look likely that they can gain the critical mass of support necessary to overtake the micro-blogging front-runner. Pownce has already shut down operations, and the others do not have the ease of access that Twitter possesses.
So, while Jon Stewart can satirically joke about Twitter’s ” faux-social network” competitors like “Grunter” and “Stalker,” I think the Twitterverse is going to continue to evolve with its devoted fan base for quite some time to come. “Jumping the Shark” is a bit premature at this stage of the game!